Founder | Josh Lowe


September Market Position

Employment growth improved in August but vacancies are not converting into consistent hires across industries.

Selective and Uneven

IndicatorLatest Result Market Signal
Jobs Added 162,000Improved
Unemployment rate4.1%Stable
People Unemployed 7.0 million Stable
Job Openings7.3 million Opportunities remain in particular sectors
Monthly Hires5.1 millionSelective hiring based on sector/industry
Quit Rates1.9%Low employer confidence
Nominal Hourly Earnings+3.1% annuallymoderate Growth
Real Hourly Earnings-0.3% annually Weakened

The September score card is based on August 2026 Employment situation data and July job openings and labor turnover survey.

What Changed?

The U.S. added 162,000 jobs in August, a significant improvement from revised gains of 31.000 in June and 21,000 in July. However, one stronger month does not yet represent a broad hiring recovery. Payroll growth averaged 31,000 jobs per month during the previous 12 months and August gains were concentrated in a limited number of industries.

The unemployment rate remained at 4.1%, representing 7 million people actively seeking employment. Labor-force participation edged to 61% but remains 0.5 percentage points below January 2026 levels.

Where Employment grew?

The strongest employment gains in September included:

  1. Food services and drinking establishments: + 59,000
  2. Local Government education: + 42,000
  3. Construction: +22,000

Manufacturing also continues its recent upward trend, adding approximately 16,000 positions.

Where Employment Contracted?

Notable employment declines included:

  1. Information services: -23,000
  2. Financial Institutions and activities: -11,000
  3. State Government: -10,000

The information services sector decline was noticeable across publishing, broadcasting, web hosting, data processing and related services.

Openings Do not equal Hiring numbers

Employers reported 7.3 million job openings compared with 5.1 million hires. This gap matters as vacancy may be advertised without producing a result, impacting budgets, resources and allocations. This includes internal mobility and recruitment, compliance checks, candidate expectations and changing workforce plans for the last quarter of 2026.

For job seekers, the number of applications submitted is less important that the quality of the opportunities selected. The strength of connection to the employers and the relevant networks is becoming the advantage to those that have found successful work placement.

The September scorecard is in: My rank is 58/100 reflected by:

  • Improved employment growth
  • stable unemployment rate
  • High number of advertisements
  • weaker hiring conversion
  • low employee confidence
  • negative annual growth in real hourly earnings
  • employment gains concentrated to a few industries

The market is not closed but it is not forgiving

Josh Lowe

Candidates need clearer positioning and stronger evidence of capability with direct connection to employers. Organizations need transparency in the hiring process, realistic requirements for job seekers, faster movement between advertisement to hiring decisions.

September Action

Select 10 vacancies for the same target role

  1. Is the position active, current or clearly defined?
  2. is compensation credible and transparent?
  3. Does your experiences and evidence align with the essential requirements?
  4. Can you identify a recruiter, manager, employee or professional connection to learn more about the opportunity advertised?
  5. What action will move this opportunity forward within the next seven days?

The JLed Labor score card is a monthly measure of how favorable and accessible the job market is for job seekers. The score is calculated out of 100 points using five fixed categories:

  1. Employment Growth {25 points} The pace, consistency and the breadth of job creation
  2. Unemployment and labor force participation: {20 points} Analyses the level of availability of workers and labor market participation
  3. Job Openings: {20 points} The number of available opportunities compared with the actual hiring activity
  4. Worker confidence {15 points} Quit rates, internal mobility, layoffs and worker confidence
  5. Wage Growth and purchasing power {20 points} Nominal wage growth adjusted for inflation and changes in real earnings

Each category receives a monthly rating based on that months available labor market data. The weighted category scores are added together to produced the final score.

How to interpret the score?

80 -100 Strong market

79-65 Favorable market

64-50 Selective market

49-35 Difficult weak market

34-0 Highly challenging market

The JLed Monthly scorecard is designed to provide a consistent comparison of labor conditions. It is not a predication of an individuals employment outcome, a measure compliance, or a guarantee that every industry or region will experience the same way.

Measure the market. Align with insights. Improve your Position

JLed | Josh Lowe Educates


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